Published: 2019-05-24 22:56:51 CEST
Government Debt Management
Other information disclosed according to the rules of the Exchange

Fitch ratings upgrades Iceland´s ST ratings to F1+; affirms LT ratings at A stable

Today Fitch ratings has published a new report on Iceland´s sovereign ratings. Iceland´s Short-Term (ST) foreign- and local currency ratings are upgraded to F1+ from F1, in line with the agency´s publication from 3rd of May. Iceland´s Long-Term (LT) ratings are affirmed at A with stable outlooks. Iceland´s country ceiling was also raised from A to A+, due to the almost full lifting of capital controls.

As stated in Fitch´s press release, the collapse of Wow air as well as the current absence of fishable capelin stock in Icelandic waters, are among the factors that have led to a worsening economic outlook for 2019. However, the agency assumes that economic growth will return in 2020 and be positive by 2.5%. The announcement also points to the recent relative stability of the Icelandic krona despite the lifting of capital controls and Wow air´s collapse.  

The main factors that could lead to a positive rating action are a continued fall in the public debt ratio, supported by prudent fiscal policy, and a sustained improvement in the external balance sheet and increased resilience of the economy to external shocks.

The main factors that could lead to a negative rating action are a sustained and sharper than expected economic downturn, impacting on the banking sector and leading to excessive capital outflows, jeopardising financial stability and weakening external buffers.

Attachment


Fitch Iceland press release published - 24.5.2019.pdf